Global Jet Capital released its sixth Business Jet Market Forecast on 14 September 2026. The firm models about USD 247 billion in combined new and pre-owned transaction volume between 2026 and 2030. Transaction unit volume is projected to rise 3.6 percent in 2026. Dollar volume is forecast up 5.5 percent. Across those five years, dollar volume is expected to grow at an average annualised 4.1 percent. The number of transactions is expected to rise at an average annual 2.8 percent.

Andrew Farrant, chief marketing officer, tied the outlook to flight activity that has been rising since late 2024. Business jet flights were up 3.4 percent year over year in the first half of 2026. He said manufacturers will raise deliveries to work down high backlogs. Lead times will stay long, so buyers who need metal soon keep the pre-owned market busy.

Heavy jets are forecast to outpace other size classes. Global Jet Capital expects transaction volume for new heavy jets up 3.3 percent and for pre-owned heavy jets up 4.9 percent, reflecting buyer preference for range and cabin capacity. New medium jets and pre-owned very light jets are also called out for faster-than-average gains. New deliveries overall are projected up 3.3 percent in 2026 and about 2.4 percent a year over the five-year span. Pre-owned unit transactions are seen rising 3.6 percent in 2026, with dollar volume up 3.5 percent that year. Over five years the firm puts average pre-owned unit growth near 2.9 percent a year and dollar volume near 4.2 percent a year.

North America remains the largest market in the model, at about 73.9 percent of total activity over the forecast period. Latin America is the second-largest market on the strength of pre-owned demand. Europe stays important for new jets. Asia-Pacific and the Middle East and Africa are listed as growth markets.

Long factory queues and rising dollar volume usually pull in the same direction. Late-model, well-equipped aircraft keep their prices. Bridge cover through lease or ACMI stays useful while owners wait on delivery slots. The forecast does not claim a boom. It describes a market that keeps moving because utilisation and wealth creation support demand while supply stays tight.

For lessors and lenders the mix matters. Heavy-cabin appetite supports residuals on large-cabin inventory. Faster activity in pre-owned very light jets can open entry points for programmes that need regional capacity. Europe's weight on new jets is a reminder that cross-border financing and registration detail still decide whether a deal closes on the advertised timeline.

Goodall Aviation arranges short- and medium-term ACMI and wet lease solutions when delivery delays and thin inventory push operators off their preferred owned hull. We source capacity against the same heavy-cabin and late-model scarcity the forecast describes. The contact page is the place to start.

Sources: ainonline.com, corporatejetinvestor.com, globaljetcapital.com, blog.globaljetcapital.com